Rand study finds less crime near pot dispensaries
Crimes such as assaults and thefts rose in areas of L.A. where the shops were forced to close last summer, researchers say. The city attorney's office and a sheriff's spokesman dispute the report's conclusions.
By John Hoeffel
Los Angeles Times
September 21, 2011
http://www.latimes.com/news/local/la-me-0928-marijuana-dispensaries-20110921,0,7776989.story
Medical
marijuana dispensaries — with storerooms of high-priced weed, registers brimming
with cash and some clientele more interested in getting high than getting well —
are often seen as magnets for crime, a perception deepened by a few high-profile
murders.
But a report from the Rand Corp. reaches a startling conclusion: The opposite
appears to be true.
In a study of crime near Los Angeles dispensaries — which the investigators call
the most rigorous independent examination of its kind — the Santa Monica-based
think tank found that crime actually increased near hundreds of pot shops after
they were required to close last summer.
"What I would take away from it is maybe there should just be a little bit less
fear about having dispensaries," said Mireille Jacobson, a health economist who
was the lead researcher. "Hopefully, this injects a little bit of science into
the discussion."
The researchers compared the 10 days before the city's medical marijuana
ordinance took effect June 7, 2010, with the 10 days after, when many of the
more than 400 illegal dispensaries shut down — if only briefly.
They found a 59% increase in crime within three-tenths of a mile of a closed
dispensary compared to an open one and a 24% increase within six-tenths of a
mile.
The city attorney's office, which has argued in court proceedings that the
number of dispensaries needs to be reduced to deal with "well-documented crime,"
called the report's conclusions "highly suspect and unreliable," saying that
they were based on "faulty assumptions, conjecture, irrelevant data, untested
measurements and incomplete results."
In particular, the office challenged the idea that most dispensaries closed June
7, 2010, and were not open for at least 10 days. And it offered its own
conjecture for the rise in crime: infighting among collective members, increased
traffic for pot fire sales and customers disgruntled to find their dispensary
closed.
Jacobson said Rand did not assume dispensaries shut down exactly on that date
and said that, if more of them closed earlier or later, it would mean only that
crime increased more than the report found.
The researchers acknowledge that the results are subject to a large margin of
error, so the increase in crime within less than a third of a mile could range
from as low as 5.4% to as high as 114%.
"These are noisy data over a short period of time," Jacobson said. But she noted
that the numbers, which were subjected to complex statistical analyses, clearly
show crime increased.
The researchers did not try to draw conclusions on why crime increased, but
offered the hypothesis that dispensaries may heighten security in the areas
around them because they employ cameras and guards, increase late-night foot
traffic, replace illicit street sales and draw heavier police patrols.
In a review of crime statistics from 2009 ordered by Los Angeles Police Chief
Charlie Beck, the LAPD found that banks were much more likely to be robbed than
dispensaries.
Cmdr. Andrew Smith, a department spokesman, said the LAPD had not yet reviewed
the report, but would do so.
The Rand report notes that police departments in Denver and Colorado Springs,
Colo., also studied crime around dispensaries and found no evidence that they
attracted crime.
None of this surprises dispensary owners or their lawyers, who note that their
surveillance records are sometimes requested by police to investigate crimes
unrelated to selling marijuana.
"It's some empirical evidence that demonstrates that the security measures that
make it safe for patients to obtain their medical marijuana also serve the
community," said David Welch, a lawyer who has represented many Los Angeles
dispensaries.
Yamileth Bolanos, who runs PureLife Alternative Wellness Center on South La
Cienega Boulevard and also is president of the Greater Los Angeles Collectives
Alliance, said, "I know that there's no crime around here. We watch everything."
But Steve Whitmore, a spokesman for the Los Angeles County Sheriff's Department,
strenuously disagreed with the report's conclusions.
"Every time we shut down a dispensary, the crime and the disorder decrease," he
said.
The report looks at such crimes as thefts and assaults, but not "disorder,"
nuisances such as loitering, double parking, loud noises and graffiti that
sparked anger among neighborhood activists. Whitmore said those complaints are
often what causes the department to act.
Eagle Rock, which has about a dozen dispensaries, has long been one of the
city's pot hot spots.
Michael Larsen, president of the neighborhood council, said he only knows of one
dispensary-related crime — an armed robbery — but has heard countless complaints
from irritated neighbors.
He said most of the dispensaries that initially closed last summer have
reopened, defying the city.
"Our main concern is the crime of illegal dispensaries illegally selling
marijuana," Larsen said. "That's the crime that we're concerned about."